The 10-Year Expiration Horizon

Projections derived from expired_date on all active licenses. Recomputed on every weekly ingestion run.

Amateur Radio 10-Year Renewal Horizon

Under FCC 47 CFR Part 97, Amateur Radio licenses are issued and renewed for 10-year terms. Licensees may renew without re-examination within 90 days prior to expiration, or during a two-year post-expiration grace period.

This page tracks future scheduled expirations for currently active licenses across the upcoming 10-year horizon. These figures represent upcoming scheduled maturity dates derived from current ULS license records, not a forecast of retention or renewal rates — see Methodology.

First Renewal Cohort projected
24,320
2027-Q1 First calendar quarter with 100 or more expirations
10-Year Projected Expirations projected
729,678
Total active licenses scheduled to expire 2027–2036

Quarterly Renewal Schedule (2027–2036)

Scheduled expirations by calendar quarter, across the whole horizon.

Quarter Scheduled Expirations Note
2027-Q1 24,320 Initial Wave Begins
2027-Q2 22,721
2027-Q3 17,462
2027-Q4 22,265
2028-Q1 22,918
2028-Q2 23,360
2028-Q3 17,304
2028-Q4 18,566
2029-Q1 19,935
2029-Q2 19,875
2029-Q3 15,391
2029-Q4 16,299
2030-Q1 18,255
2030-Q2 17,737
2030-Q3 18,100
2030-Q4 17,075
2031-Q1 21,201
2031-Q2 19,794
2031-Q3 16,480
2031-Q4 16,092
2032-Q1 17,490
2032-Q2 20,006
2032-Q3 13,838
2032-Q4 13,503
2033-Q1 16,775
2033-Q2 17,935
2033-Q3 15,710
2033-Q4 16,354
2034-Q1 21,241
2034-Q2 20,630
2034-Q3 18,102
2034-Q4 19,100
2035-Q1 19,024
2035-Q2 19,063
2035-Q3 15,586
2035-Q4 13,478
2036-Q1 19,817
2036-Q2 19,796
2036-Q3 15,381
2036-Q4 11,699

Annual Expirations Projection (2027–2036)

Ten-year projected expiration volume based on active licenses.

Year Scheduled Expirations
2027 86,768
2028 82,148
2029 71,500
2030 71,167
2031 73,567
2032 64,837
2033 66,774
2034 79,073
2035 67,151
2036 66,693